Prediction review

Thursday, 29 October 2026

10/13
calls correct
13
fixtures predicted before kick-off

On 2026-10-29 we had published a prediction for 13 fixtures before kick-off. We called 10 of them correctly.

Our strongest call

The call we backed hardest was Sevilla to beat Sporting Hortaleza in Copa del Rey, at 63.0%, and it held. It finished 0–3.

Where we were most wrong

Atlético-MG against Cruzeiro finished 0–1. We had published Atlético-MG to beat Cruzeiro at 44.0%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.

When we were confident

5 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 5 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.

Coverage

The day's predictions spanned 4 competitions: Copa del Rey (8), Brasileirao (2), Serie A (2).

Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →