Prediction review
Monday, 26 October 2026
On 2026-10-26 we had published a prediction for 12 fixtures before kick-off. We called 8 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Paris Saint-Germain to beat Lyon in Ligue 1, at 75.5%, and it held. It finished 2–0.
Where we were most wrong
Coritiba against Grêmio finished 0–1. We had published Coritiba to beat Grêmio at 48.7%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
The ones we called close
3 fixtures were split closely enough that no outcome reached 40%. 0 of them ended level. We publish these without pretending to a view: a fixture the model divides three ways is one it has little to tell you about, and saying so is more useful than manufacturing a lean.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 9 competitions: Süper Lig (3), Brasileirao (2), Segunda Division (1).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →