Prediction review
Thursday, 22 October 2026
On 2026-10-22 we had published a prediction for 36 fixtures before kick-off. We called 17 of them correctly, 47%.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Bayer Leverkusen to beat OFI Crete in UEFA Europa League, at 78.6%, and it held. It finished 0–2.
Where we were most wrong
Jablonec against Brighton & Hove Albion finished 0–0. We had published Brighton & Hove Albion to beat Jablonec at 78.5%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
15 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 8 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 2 competitions: UEFA Europa League (18), UEFA Conference League (18).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →