Prediction review
Wednesday, 21 October 2026
On 2026-10-21 we had published a prediction for 10 fixtures before kick-off. We called 7 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Aston Villa to beat Viking FK in UEFA Champions League, at 84.2%, and it held. It finished 3–1.
Where we were most wrong
Bayern Munich against Arsenal finished 2–2. We had published Bayern Munich to beat Arsenal at 46.5%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 4 competitions: UEFA Champions League (7), MLS (1), La Liga (1).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →