Prediction review
Thursday, 15 October 2026
On 2026-10-15 we had published a prediction for 32 fixtures before kick-off. We called 20 of them correctly, 62%.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Brighton & Hove Albion to beat Kauno Zalgiris in UEFA Conference League, at 90.9%, and it held. It finished 4–0.
Where we were most wrong
Sparta Prague against Lillestrom finished 1–1. We had published Sparta Prague to beat Lillestrom at 83.8%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
15 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 11 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 4 competitions: UEFA Europa League (18), UEFA Conference League (12), Liga Profesional Argentina (1).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →