Prediction review
Friday, 9 October 2026
On 2026-10-09 we had published a prediction for 19 fixtures before kick-off. We called 6 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was West Ham United to beat Queens Park Rangers, at 78.8%. It finished 1–1. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
When we were confident
7 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 3 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 12 competitions: Ligue 2 (5), Liga Profesional Argentina (3), 2. Bundesliga (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →