Prediction review
Monday, 5 October 2026
On 2026-10-05 we had published a prediction for 13 fixtures before kick-off. We called 6 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was Vélez Sarsfield to beat Platense, at 64.1%. It finished 2–2. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 4 competitions: Int: UEFA Nations League (6), Liga Profesional Argentina (3), Int: Friendly (3).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →