Prediction review
Friday, 2 October 2026
On 2026-10-02 we had published a prediction for 13 fixtures before kick-off. We called 6 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was Slovakia to beat Faroe Islands, at 70.7%. It finished 1–1. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 5 competitions: Int: UEFA Nations League (8), Int: Friendly (2), Segunda Division (1).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →