Prediction review
Thursday, 1 October 2026
4/10
calls correct
10
fixtures predicted before kick-off
On 2026-10-01 we had published a prediction for 10 fixtures before kick-off. We called 4 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was Azerbaijan to beat Liechtenstein, at 74.6%. It finished 0–0. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 2 competitions: Int: UEFA Nations League (8), Int: Friendly (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →