Prediction review

Tuesday, 29 September 2026

7/10
calls correct
10
fixtures predicted before kick-off

On 2026-09-29 we had published a prediction for 10 fixtures before kick-off. We called 7 of them correctly.

Our strongest call

The call we backed hardest was Albania to beat San Marino in Int: UEFA Nations League, at 82.6%, and it held. It finished 0–3.

Where we were most wrong

Bulgaria against Estonia finished 0–0. We had published Bulgaria to beat Estonia at 58.0%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.

Coverage

The day's predictions spanned 2 competitions: Int: UEFA Nations League (9), Int: Friendly (1).

Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →