Prediction review

Friday, 25 September 2026

4/8
calls correct
8
fixtures predicted before kick-off

On 2026-09-25 we had published a prediction for 8 fixtures before kick-off. We called 4 of them correctly.

Our strongest call

The call we backed hardest was Montenegro to beat Cyprus in Int: UEFA Nations League, at 62.8%, and it held. It finished 2–1.

Where we were most wrong

Australia against Brazil finished 1–1. We had published Brazil to beat Australia at 52.4%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.

Coverage

The day's predictions spanned 3 competitions: Int: UEFA Nations League (6), Int: Friendly (1), Segunda Division (1).

Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →