Prediction review

Wednesday, 23 September 2026

0/2
calls correct
2
fixtures predicted before kick-off

On 2026-09-23 we had published a prediction for 2 fixtures before kick-off. We called 0 of them correctly.

Our strongest call, and it missed

The most confident thing we published was Gibraltar to beat Sao Tome and Principe, at 47.0%. It finished 0–0. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.

Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →