Prediction review
Monday, 21 September 2026
2/5
calls correct
5
fixtures predicted before kick-off
On 2026-09-21 we had published a prediction for 5 fixtures before kick-off. We called 2 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was New Caledonia to beat Solomon Islands, at 64.0%. It finished 0–2. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 2 competitions: Int: Friendly (3), Liga Profesional Argentina (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →