Prediction review
Thursday, 17 September 2026
On 2026-09-17 we had published a prediction for 12 fixtures before kick-off. We called 6 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Manchester City to beat Norwich City in EFL Cup, at 80.1%, and it held. It finished 5–0.
Where we were most wrong
Celtic against Ferencvaros finished 1–3. We had published Celtic to beat Ferencvaros at 70.7%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
7 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 4 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 4 competitions: UEFA Europa League (8), La Liga (2), League One (1).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →