Prediction review
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
On 2026-09-16 we had published a prediction for 19 fixtures before kick-off. We called 11 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Barcelona to beat Racing Santander in La Liga, at 85.0%, and it held. It finished 7–2.
Where we were most wrong
Omonia Nicosia against Celta Vigo finished 1–0. We had published Celta Vigo to beat Omonia Nicosia at 78.9%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
8 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 6 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 5 competitions: UEFA Europa League (9), La Liga (4), EFL Cup (4).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →