Prediction review
Tuesday, 15 September 2026
On 2026-09-15 we had published a prediction for 14 fixtures before kick-off. We called 9 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Ajax Amsterdam to beat Willem II in Eredivisie, at 70.5%, and it held. It finished 5–1.
Where we were most wrong
Alavés against Valencia finished 0–1. We had published Alavés to beat Valencia at 48.3%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
6 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 6 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 6 competitions: EFL Cup (5), La Liga (3), Championship (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →