Prediction review
Friday, 11 September 2026
12/20
calls correct
20
fixtures predicted before kick-off
On 2026-09-11 we had published a prediction for 20 fixtures before kick-off. We called 12 of them correctly.
Our strongest call, and it missed
The most confident thing we published was AZ Alkmaar to beat Willem II, at 86.3%. It finished 1–1. That is the day's boldest call and its largest error in one fixture. A model that is never surprised is not saying much; the question is whether it is surprised this often at this level, and that only answers itself over months rather than over one evening.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 13 competitions: Ligue 2 (4), Serie B (3), 2. Bundesliga (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. Every day we have called → How the model is measured →