Prediction review
Wednesday, 9 September 2026
On 2026-09-09 we had published a prediction for 15 fixtures before kick-off. We called 11 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Paris Saint-Germain to beat Slovan Bratislava in UEFA Champions League, at 85.4%, and it held. It finished 6–1.
Where we were most wrong
Toronto FC against Nashville SC finished 2–1. We had published Nashville SC to beat Toronto FC at 44.6%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
6 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 6 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 7 competitions: UEFA Champions League (4), MLS (4), Championship (3).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. How the model is measured →