Prediction review
Monday, 7 September 2026
On 2026-09-07 we had published a prediction for 14 fixtures before kick-off. We called 7 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Palermo to beat Sampdoria in Serie B, at 63.5%, and it held. It finished 3–1.
Where we were most wrong
Goztepe against Gaziantep FK finished 2–4. We had published Goztepe to beat Gaziantep FK at 55.2%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
The ones we called close
4 fixtures were split closely enough that no outcome reached 40%. 3 of them ended level. We publish these without pretending to a view: a fixture the model divides three ways is one it has little to tell you about, and saying so is more useful than manufacturing a lean.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 11 competitions: Serie A (2), La Liga (2), Süper Lig (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. How the model is measured →