Prediction review
Friday, 4 September 2026
On 2026-09-04 we had published a prediction for 22 fixtures before kick-off. We called 7 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was VfB Stuttgart to beat FC Cologne in Bundesliga, at 72.1%, and it held. It finished 4–1.
Where we were most wrong
Paris Saint-Germain against AS Monaco finished 1–2. We had published Paris Saint-Germain to beat AS Monaco at 69.3%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
8 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 5 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 14 competitions: Ligue 2 (5), Liga Profesional Argentina (3), Ligue 1 (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. How the model is measured →