Prediction review
Wednesday, 2 September 2026
On 2026-09-02 we had published a prediction for 14 fixtures before kick-off. We called 10 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Bayern Munich to beat VfL Osnabruck in DFB-Pokal, at 75.7%, and it held. It finished 1–4.
Where we were most wrong
Millwall against Wrexham finished 0–3. We had published Millwall to beat Wrexham at 55.7%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
The ones we called close
3 fixtures were split closely enough that no outcome reached 40%. 1 of them ended level. We publish these without pretending to a view: a fixture the model divides three ways is one it has little to tell you about, and saying so is more useful than manufacturing a lean.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 6 competitions: League One (5), Championship (4), Coppa Italia (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. How the model is measured →