Prediction review
Monday, 31 August 2026
On 2026-08-31 we had published a prediction for 16 fixtures before kick-off. We called 12 of them correctly.
Our strongest call
The call we backed hardest was Benfica to beat Estoril in Primeira Liga, at 83.8%, and it held. It finished 2–1.
Where we were most wrong
Burgos against Real Sociedad II finished 2–2. We had published Burgos to beat Real Sociedad II at 67.2%, the largest confidence we placed on an outcome that did not happen. It stays on the record: a site that reports only its hits is not reporting a record, it is reporting a selection.
When we were confident
9 of the day's calls were at 60% or above. 7 of them landed. Over a single day that number means very little — it is the same figure across a month that says whether our stated confidence is honest.
Coverage
The day's predictions spanned 10 competitions: Serie A (2), La Liga (2), Segunda Division (2).
Only predictions published before the match day are counted. Results come from public fixture feeds. How the model is measured →