Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County

Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:15

Win probability

25%

Cray Wanderers wins

23%

Draw

52%

Stockport County wins

xG Home

1.24

Cray Wanderers

Blowout %

40%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.90

Stockport County

Analysis

Our model puts a Stockport County win at 52.4% in this FA Cup fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.24 to 1.9.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,561 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 45% and 55% came in 48.5% of the time — 779 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 49.5%, so the two are within 1 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 1 November 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export