● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 1 November 2026
Liga Profesional Argentina
Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán
Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 20:00
Win probability
73%
Argentinos Juniors wins
16%
Draw
11%
Huracán wins
xG Home
2.54
Argentinos Juniors
Blowout %
46%
Dominant win
xG Away
0.85
Huracán
Analysis
Our model puts an Argentinos Juniors win at 72.7% in this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 2.54 to 0.85.
What this probability has been worth
A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,561 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 69.6% of the time — 247 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.3 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.
Published 1 November 2026 · aleavici-football
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