Clermont Foot vs Rodez Aveyron

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 13:00

Win probability

41%

Clermont Foot wins

26%

Draw

33%

Rodez Aveyron wins

xG Home

1.43

Clermont Foot

Blowout %

32%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.24

Rodez Aveyron

Analysis

Our model puts a Clermont Foot win at 41.4% in this Ligue 2 fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.43 to 1.24.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,454 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.5% of the time — 885 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.1 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 31 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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