Bradford City vs Marine

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 15:00

Win probability

67%

Bradford City wins

19%

Draw

14%

Marine wins

xG Home

2.24

Bradford City

Blowout %

46%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.90

Marine

Analysis

Our model puts a Bradford City win at 66.9% in this FA Cup fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 2.24 to 0.9.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,454 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 70% of the time — 237 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.7 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Bradford City are hard to beat

Bradford City have gone 11 matches without losing, though without stringing wins together. That pattern tends to push draw probability up more than it pushes a win probability.

Published 31 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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