Argentinos Juniors vs Huracán

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 20:30

Win probability

73%

Argentinos Juniors wins

16%

Draw

11%

Huracán wins

xG Home

2.55

Argentinos Juniors

Blowout %

48%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.85

Huracán

Analysis

Our model puts an Argentinos Juniors win at 73% in this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 2.55 to 0.85.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,598 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 69.1% of the time — 256 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.2 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Argentinos Juniors are on a run

Argentinos Juniors arrive on 3 straight wins, part of 5 matches unbeaten. Form of that length moves our rating on its own, so it is already reflected in the numbers above rather than being an argument on top of them.

Published 3 November 2026 · aleavici-football

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