Antwerp vs Lommel SK

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 19:45

Win probability

68%

Antwerp wins

18%

Draw

13%

Lommel SK wins

xG Home

2.32

Antwerp

Blowout %

60%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.90

Lommel SK

Analysis

Our model puts an Antwerp win at 68.2% in this Belgian Pro League fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 2.32 to 0.9.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,454 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 70% of the time — 237 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.7 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 31 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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