Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger

Friday, 6 November 2026 at 18:30

Win probability

16%

Rapid Vienna wins

18%

Draw

66%

Wolfsberger wins

xG Home

1.12

Rapid Vienna

Blowout %

33%

Dominant win

xG Away

2.49

Wolfsberger

Analysis

Our model puts a Wolfsberger win at 65.8% in this Austrian Bundesliga fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 1.12 to 2.49.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,440 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 69.5% of the time — 236 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.1 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Rapid Vienna are off their season peak

Rapid Vienna peaked at 1500 this season and sit at 1448 today, 52 points below their own best. Measuring a side against itself rather than against the table is often the earlier signal, and it is not visible in a league position.

Published 30 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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