KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent

Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 17:45

Win probability

15%

KuPS Kuopio wins

17%

Draw

68%

KAA Gent wins

xG Home

1.13

KuPS Kuopio

Blowout %

26%

Dominant win

xG Away

2.62

KAA Gent

Analysis

Our model puts a KAA Gent win at 67.7% in this UEFA Conference League fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 1.13 to 2.62.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,404 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 70.3% of the time — 229 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.4%, so the two are within 0.9 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 29 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export