Royal Charleroi SC vs RAAL La Louvière

Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 18:15

Win probability

74%

Royal Charleroi SC wins

16%

Draw

11%

RAAL La Louvière wins

xG Home

2.65

Royal Charleroi SC

Blowout %

53%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.89

RAAL La Louvière

Analysis

Our model puts a Royal Charleroi SC win at 73.5% in this Belgian Pro League fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 2.65 to 0.89.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 2,324 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 65% and 75% came in 70.4% of the time — 223 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 69.5%, so the two are within 0.9 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 26 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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