Bromley vs Peterborough United

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:00

Win probability

55%

Bromley wins

24%

Draw

21%

Peterborough United wins

xG Home

1.68

Bromley

Blowout %

37%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.93

Peterborough United

Analysis

Our model puts a Bromley win at 54.7% in this League One fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.68 to 0.93.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,904 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 45% and 55% came in 47.4% of the time — 580 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 49.4%, so the two are within 2 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Published 17 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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