Cambridge United vs Wycombe Wanderers
Our model puts a Cambridge United win at 60.4% in this League One fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 1.84 to 0.85.
What this probability has been worth
A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,941 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 55% and 65% came in 50.7% of the time — 355 fixtures in that band. That is 8.8 points below what the model claimed, so read this figure as optimistic: in this range it has been saying more than it could support. We publish the gap rather than quietly shading the number, because a record that only shows its good bands is not a record.
Cambridge United are hard to beat
Cambridge United have gone 6 matches without losing, though without stringing wins together. That pattern tends to push draw probability up more than it pushes a win probability.