Stade Laval vs Clermont Foot

Friday, 16 October 2026 at 18:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

42%

Stade Laval wins

26%

Draw

33%

Clermont Foot wins

xG Home

1.46

Stade Laval

Blowout %

33%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.26

Clermont Foot

Analysis

Our model puts a Stade Laval win at 41.8% in this Ligue 2 fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.46 to 1.26.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,941 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.8% of the time — 717 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 1.8 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1462 against 1462, a gap of 0 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Market odds

2.15

Stade Laval

3.20

Draw

3.50

Clermont Foot

Published 16 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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