LAFC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 02:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

42%

LAFC wins

25%

Draw

33%

Vancouver Whitecaps wins

xG Home

1.54

LAFC

Blowout %

38%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.34

Vancouver Whitecaps

Analysis

Our model puts a LAFC win at 41.9% in this MLS fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.54 to 1.34.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.35

LAFC

3.55

Draw

2.65

Vancouver Whitecaps

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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