West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 11:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

44%

West Bromwich Albion wins

27%

Draw

30%

Birmingham City wins

xG Home

1.43

West Bromwich Albion

Blowout %

43%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.12

Birmingham City

Analysis

Our model puts a West Bromwich Albion win at 44% in this Championship fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.43 to 1.12.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.50

West Bromwich Albion

3.35

Draw

2.85

Birmingham City

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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