VfL Osnabruck vs Dynamo Dresden

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 11:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

38%

VfL Osnabruck wins

26%

Draw

36%

Dynamo Dresden wins

xG Home

1.37

VfL Osnabruck

Blowout %

31%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.34

Dynamo Dresden

Analysis

Our model puts a VfL Osnabruck win at 37.8% in this 2. Bundesliga fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.37 to 1.34.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.50

VfL Osnabruck

3.60

Draw

2.60

Dynamo Dresden

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export