Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

48%

Tranmere Rovers wins

26%

Draw

27%

Rochdale wins

xG Home

1.54

Tranmere Rovers

Blowout %

38%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.08

Rochdale

Analysis

Our model puts a Tranmere Rovers win at 47.7% in this League Two fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.54 to 1.08.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 45% and 55% came in 46.9% of the time — 512 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 49.5%, so the two are within 2.6 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

How often they shoot

Rochdale manage 8.8 shots a match, against an average of 11.8. A side that shoots this rarely has to take what it gets, which makes its scoring lumpier than its quality.

Market odds

1.95

Tranmere Rovers

3.65

Draw

3.70

Rochdale

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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