Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

45%

Shrewsbury Town wins

27%

Draw

28%

Exeter City wins

xG Home

1.39

Shrewsbury Town

Blowout %

34%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.05

Exeter City

Analysis

Our model puts a Shrewsbury Town win at 44.6% in this League Two fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.39 to 1.05.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.10

Shrewsbury Town

3.30

Draw

3.55

Exeter City

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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