Sheffield United vs Lincoln City

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

41%

Sheffield United wins

27%

Draw

33%

Lincoln City wins

xG Home

1.35

Sheffield United

Blowout %

31%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.18

Lincoln City

Analysis

Our model puts a Sheffield United win at 40.5% in this Championship fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.35 to 1.18.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.20

Sheffield United

3.40

Draw

3.35

Lincoln City

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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