Fleetwood Town vs Walsall

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

40%

Fleetwood Town wins

28%

Draw

32%

Walsall wins

xG Home

1.29

Fleetwood Town

Blowout %

29%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.12

Walsall

Analysis

Our model puts a Fleetwood Town win at 40.1% in this League Two fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.29 to 1.12.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 38.2% of the time — 621 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 2.4 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

How often they shoot

Fleetwood Town take 15.1 shots a match against an average of 11.8. Volume like that usually means territory rather than precision, and it is why a side can dominate a match and still not win it.

Market odds

2.40

Fleetwood Town

3.50

Draw

2.85

Walsall

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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