Cambridge United vs Blackpool

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

49%

Cambridge United wins

25%

Draw

26%

Blackpool wins

xG Home

1.62

Cambridge United

Blowout %

41%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.10

Blackpool

Analysis

Our model puts a Cambridge United win at 49% in this League One fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.62 to 1.1.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 45% and 55% came in 46.9% of the time — 512 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 49.5%, so the two are within 2.6 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Behind the defence

50% of the shots on target Blackpool face do not end up in the net, against 67.6% for the sides we measure. That is low enough to matter, and it is the kind of number that flatters or punishes a side's record without saying much about how it plays.

Market odds

2.05

Cambridge United

3.70

Draw

3.35

Blackpool

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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