Bradford City vs Leyton Orient

Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

57%

Bradford City wins

24%

Draw

19%

Leyton Orient wins

xG Home

1.74

Bradford City

Blowout %

42%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.88

Leyton Orient

Analysis

Our model puts a Bradford City win at 57.1% in this League One fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.74 to 0.88.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,656 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 55% and 65% came in 49.5% of the time — 305 fixtures in that band. That is 10 points below what the model claimed, so read this figure as optimistic: in this range it has been saying more than it could support. We publish the gap rather than quietly shading the number, because a record that only shows its good bands is not a record.

Market odds

1.62

Bradford City

4.00

Draw

5.25

Leyton Orient

Published 11 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export