Scotland vs Slovenia

Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 18:45

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

54%

Scotland wins

25%

Draw

21%

Slovenia wins

xG Home

1.62

Scotland

Blowout %

49%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.90

Slovenia

Analysis

Our model puts a Scotland win at 54% in this Int: UEFA Nations League fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.62 to 0.9.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1617 against 1587, a gap of 30 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Market odds

1.77

Scotland

3.35

Draw

4.70

Slovenia

Published 7 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export