Banfield vs Rosario Central

Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 00:15

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

28%

Banfield wins

24%

Draw

48%

Rosario Central wins

xG Home

1.25

Banfield

Blowout %

27%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.70

Rosario Central

Analysis

Our model puts a Rosario Central win at 47.5% in this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.25 to 1.7.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,601 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 45% and 55% came in 46.2% of the time — 487 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 49.5%, so the two are within 3.3 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

4.10

Banfield

3.40

Draw

1.91

Rosario Central

Published 6 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export