Bolivia vs Gambia

Sunday, 4 October 2026 at 22:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

51%

Bolivia wins

26%

Draw

24%

Gambia wins

xG Home

1.57

Bolivia

Blowout %

35%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.97

Gambia

Analysis

Our model puts a Bolivia win at 50.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.57 to 0.97.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1489 against 1474, a gap of 15 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Published 5 October 2026 · aleavici-football

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