● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 3 October 2026
Int: Friendly
South Korea vs Venezuela
Friday, 2 October 2026 at 11:00
📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.
Win probability
59%
South Korea wins
24%
Draw
18%
Venezuela wins
xG Home
1.75
South Korea
Blowout %
56%
Dominant win
xG Away
0.83
Venezuela
Analysis
Our model puts a South Korea win at 58.7% in this Int: Friendly fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.75 to 0.83.
South Korea are off their season peak
South Korea peaked at 1747 this season and sit at 1682 today, 65 points below their own best. Measuring a side against itself rather than against the table is often the earlier signal, and it is not visible in a league position.
Market odds
1.65
South Korea
4.10
Draw
5.00
Venezuela
Published 3 October 2026 · aleavici-football
Signed export