Mauritius vs Sri Lanka

Friday, 2 October 2026 at 15:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

55%

Mauritius wins

25%

Draw

21%

Sri Lanka wins

xG Home

1.66

Mauritius

Blowout %

43%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.90

Sri Lanka

Analysis

Our model puts a Mauritius win at 54.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.66 to 0.9.

Mauritius are off their season peak

Mauritius peaked at 1500 this season and sit at 1328 today, 172 points below their own best. Measuring a side against itself rather than against the table is often the earlier signal, and it is not visible in a league position.

Published 3 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export