Cyprus vs Armenia

Friday, 2 October 2026 at 16:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

41%

Cyprus wins

27%

Draw

32%

Armenia wins

xG Home

1.37

Cyprus

Blowout %

27%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.17

Armenia

Analysis

Our model puts a Cyprus win at 41.3% in this Int: UEFA Nations League fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.37 to 1.17.

Attack against defence

The single rating hides where the mismatch actually sits. Splitting it, Armenia's attack should find room against Cyprus's defence, by 138 points. That is the mechanism behind the expected-goals line rather than a separate opinion about it.

Cyprus are off their season peak

Cyprus peaked at 1500 this season and sit at 1366 today, 134 points below their own best. Measuring a side against itself rather than against the table is often the earlier signal, and it is not visible in a league position.

Market odds

2.15

Cyprus

3.25

Draw

3.30

Armenia

Published 3 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export