Congo DR vs Uganda

Friday, 2 October 2026 at 11:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

56%

Congo DR wins

24%

Draw

20%

Uganda wins

xG Home

1.72

Congo DR

Blowout %

60%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.92

Uganda

Analysis

Our model puts a Congo DR win at 55.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.72 to 0.92.

Attack against defence

The single rating hides where the mismatch actually sits. Splitting it, Uganda's attack will struggle to break down Congo DR's defence, by 126 points. That is the mechanism behind the expected-goals line rather than a separate opinion about it.

Published 3 October 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export